Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.193676 0.210113 0.227544 0.247446 0.269593 0.293539 0.321465
2026-01-11 0.165682 0.189088 0.215556 0.247892 0.286587 0.331725 0.388833
2026-01-18 0.144926 0.171268 0.202417 0.242351 0.292744 0.354973 0.438822
2026-01-25 0.128974 0.156494 0.190170 0.234992 0.293983 0.370264 0.478546
2026-02-01 0.117664 0.145951 0.181572 0.230524 0.297337 0.387305 0.521134
2026-02-08 0.107965 0.136423 0.173138 0.224992 0.298033 0.399958 0.558060
2026-02-15 0.100372 0.128936 0.166599 0.221124 0.300178 0.414205 0.598210
2026-02-22 0.096169 0.125585 0.165225 0.224067 0.311941 0.443114 0.663794
2026-03-01 0.091089 0.120627 0.161178 0.222685 0.316939 0.461961 0.715224
2026-03-08 0.086060 0.115384 0.156312 0.219602 0.318873 0.475897 0.759777
2026-03-15 0.080988 0.109761 0.150506 0.214598 0.317230 0.483659 0.794177
2026-03-22 0.079269 0.108837 0.151447 0.219881 0.332293 0.520304 0.885304
2026-03-29 0.076820 0.106794 0.150721 0.222704 0.343929 0.552972 0.975329
2026-04-05 0.073873 0.103859 0.148481 0.222964 0.351318 0.579069 1.056989
2026-04-12 0.069949 0.099234 0.143350 0.218094 0.349342 0.587772 1.104180
2026-04-19 0.065980 0.094340 0.137521 0.211645 0.343975 0.589454 1.136479
2026-04-26 0.062877 0.090633 0.133367 0.207727 0.342803 0.598981 1.187481
2026-05-03 0.059800 0.086825 0.128847 0.202873 0.339474 0.603837 1.228471
2026-05-10 0.057240 0.083717 0.125302 0.199477 0.338573 0.613429 1.282167
2026-05-17 0.056045 0.082725 0.125162 0.202061 0.349258 0.648023 1.403257
2026-05-24 0.054192 0.080584 0.122997 0.200848 0.352397 0.666901 1.487850
2026-05-31 0.052175 0.078091 0.120118 0.198140 0.352318 0.678712 1.555871
2026-06-07 0.049974 0.075209 0.116444 0.193742 0.348457 0.681651 1.600054